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From the celebrated Chicago taxi-driver story to billions of naira in education announcements, Nigerians deserve more than inspiring speeches. They deserve verifiable facts, measurable results and a president who can be held accountable for his words. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu's latest message on education is carefully constructed around a compelling personal story. He tells Nigerians that when he first arrived in the United States as a young man, he drove a taxi to finance his education. He says he postponed starting school for several months to save money, worked different jobs in Chicago and struggled to pay his tuition and accommodation. The story is designed to establish a connection between the President's personal experiences and the economic struggles of Nigerian students. It presents him as someone who understands the sacrifices required to obtain an education because he supposedly experienced those sacrifices himself. But there is a fundamental probl...

Pakistan’s LPG Crisis: Border Closure With Iran Sends Cooking Gas Prices Soaring 56%

Pakistan’s decision to close key border crossings with Iran has disrupted a major source of liquefied petroleum gas, exposing the risks of energy dependence as households face sharply rising cooking-fuel costs.

Pakistan is confronting a growing cooking-gas shortage after the closure of two major border crossings with Iran disrupted supplies of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), sending cylinder prices sharply higher and raising concerns about further increases.

According to Reuters reporting published on October 23, 2026, traders said the price of a 12-kilogram LPG cylinder had risen from 4,500 Pakistani rupees to approximately 7,000 rupees within days. That represents an increase of about 56%.


The disruption follows Pakistan’s October 17 closure of the Gabd-Rimdan and Taftan crossings. Together, the routes have played an important role in supplying Iranian LPG to Pakistani markets.

The consequences extend beyond the border. With households, businesses and other consumers relying on LPG for cooking and related uses, a prolonged interruption could intensify pressure on household budgets and increase operating costs for businesses.

Why Iran Matters to Pakistan’s Energy Supply

Pakistan relies substantially on imported LPG, and Iran is an important source of those supplies.

According to figures cited by Pakistani industry representatives, the country imports approximately 7,000 metric tonnes of LPG daily from Iran, with more than 4,000 tonnes entering through the Gabd-Rimdan crossing alone.

Pakistan’s dependence on Iranian LPG means that disruptions to cross-border trade can quickly affect the availability of cooking gas. Traders have reported that supplies through the affected routes have been halted, while hundreds of vehicles, including LPG tankers, have remained stranded.

The interruption is particularly consequential because replacing these supplies is not simply a matter of finding another seller. Alternative sources may involve different transport routes, shipping arrangements, delivery times and costs.

If replacement supplies cannot reach Pakistani markets quickly enough, the resulting imbalance between available gas and consumer demand can push prices higher.

A 56% Price Increase in Days

The reported rise from 4,500 to 7,000 rupees for a 12-kilogram cylinder represents an additional 2,500 rupees per cylinder.

For households that depend on LPG for daily cooking, the increase can force difficult spending decisions. Families may have to reduce other essential expenses or seek alternative fuels, while small restaurants and food businesses may face higher operating costs.

Prices also vary across Pakistan. Industry representatives have reported cylinders selling for approximately 7,500 rupees in Lahore and 8,200 rupees in Skardu.

Such differences reflect the effects of regional transport costs, local supply conditions and market availability. They also illustrate how a disruption concentrated at the border can affect consumers unevenly across a large country.

The situation raises concerns about affordability as well as availability. Even where cylinders remain obtainable, rapidly rising prices can make cooking fuel less accessible to lower-income households.

Why Were the Border Crossings Closed?

The reasons for the closure remain contested.

Authorities in Pakistan’s Balochistan province have cited security concerns and efforts to curb smuggling. Iran’s foreign ministry has pointed to technical issues.

The closures have therefore disrupted commercial activity while the two countries offer different explanations for the restrictions.

The situation also has a wider geopolitical dimension. Pakistan must manage its relationship with neighbouring Iran while navigating its broader diplomatic and economic relationship with the United States.

However, the available reporting does not establish that US pressure was the direct cause of the border closure. That claim requires separate evidence and should not be treated as a confirmed explanation.

What is clear is that the restrictions have interrupted a significant trade route, creating immediate consequences for energy supplies and cross-border commerce.

The Economic Impact Goes Beyond Cooking Gas

LPG is not the only commodity affected by the disruption.

Traders have reported that more than 1,000 Pakistani containers carrying produce, including potatoes, bananas and rice destined for Iran, were also delayed. Although the Gabd-Rimdan crossing subsequently reopened for Pakistani exports of perishable goods, LPG imports remained suspended, according to the reporting.

The interruption illustrates how border restrictions can affect both sides of a trading relationship.

Pakistan loses access to an important source of cooking fuel, while exporters and transport operators face delays, uncertainty and potential financial losses. Businesses that depend on regular cross-border transactions may also struggle to plan deliveries and manage inventory.

If higher energy costs spread through the economy, consumers could face additional pressure through the prices of prepared food, transport and other goods and services.

The longer the disruption continues, the greater the risk that temporary supply problems will develop into a broader affordability crisis.

Can Pakistan Find Alternative Supplies?

Pakistan can seek LPG from other suppliers, increase domestic availability where feasible and improve the movement of existing stocks. However, these measures may not fully compensate for a large and sudden interruption.

Alternative imports depend on available supply, commercial agreements, transport capacity and the cost of bringing fuel to market. Supplies that are technically available may not arrive quickly enough to prevent short-term shortages.

The government may also need to strengthen market monitoring to address excessive pricing, hoarding and distribution problems. Such measures can help ensure that available supplies reach consumers, although enforcement alone cannot replace gas that is no longer entering the country.

Restoring reliable cross-border trade, where consistent with legitimate security requirements, would therefore be an important part of easing the immediate disruption.

The Strategic Lesson: Energy Dependence Creates Vulnerability

Pakistan’s LPG shortage highlights a wider challenge confronting countries that depend heavily on concentrated sources of energy imports.

Cross-border trade can provide affordable supplies and support regional economic integration. But when a substantial share of an essential commodity moves through a limited number of routes, political disagreements, security restrictions or logistical failures can have immediate domestic consequences.

Energy security requires more than securing access to fuel during normal conditions. It also requires the ability to withstand disruptions.

For Pakistan, that means examining the resilience of its LPG supply chain, diversifying import sources where economically viable, strengthening storage and distribution capacity, and developing contingency plans for interruptions to major supply routes.

Diversification is not cost-free. Alternative suppliers and transport arrangements may be more expensive, and maintaining additional reserves requires infrastructure and capital. Nevertheless, those costs must be weighed against the economic damage that can result when essential supplies are suddenly interrupted.

The objective is not to eliminate trade with Iran, but to reduce the extent to which any single disruption can destabilise domestic energy markets.

A Test of Regional Cooperation

Pakistan and Iran have substantial economic interests in maintaining reliable trade. The current disruption demonstrates how quickly restrictions can affect households, traders and transport operators on both sides of the border.

Both countries have an interest in clarifying the circumstances surrounding the closures and establishing arrangements that address legitimate security concerns without unnecessarily prolonging commercial disruption.

Iran’s foreign ministry has indicated that consultations on resuming trade are underway. Whether those discussions lead to a restoration of LPG supplies will be important for the near-term outlook.

For Pakistani households, the immediate priority is straightforward: reliable access to affordable cooking fuel.

For policymakers, the longer-term challenge is to build an energy system that can withstand political and logistical shocks without transferring the full cost to ordinary consumers.

Pakistan’s LPG crisis is a reminder that energy security is ultimately measured not only by the availability of fuel at the border, but by whether households can afford to use it. When a single trade disruption sends cooking-gas prices soaring, the consequences expose the economic cost of dependence—and the need for a more resilient supply system.

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